what is p doom

Based on the search results, p(doom) refers to the probability or likelihood of a very bad outcome, such as human extinction, resulting from the development of advanced artificial intelligence (AI). [1][3] The key points are: - p(doom) is a metric used to express the probability that AI will cause a catastrophic "doomsday" scenario for humanity. [1][3] - The precise severity of the p(doom) scenario varies, but it generally means something as bad as the total extinction of humanity or us becoming subservient to AI systems. [1] - Estimates of p(doom) from AI experts and researchers range widely, from less than 0.01% to over 99%. [1][4] - There is debate around the usefulness and validity of the p(doom) metric, as it is often based on subjective guesses rather than rigorous analysis. [2][5] - Despite the controversy, p(doom) has become a common topic of discussion in the tech industry as a way to express concerns about the risks of advanced AI. [3] In summary, p(doom) is an informal metric used to quantify the risk of catastrophic outcomes from the development of powerful AI systems, though its precise meaning and usefulness are debated. [1][2][3][4][5] Citations: [1]

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